Who is the favourite in Argentina vs Algeria?

Betting exchange markets make Argentina the 77% favourite to win Argentina vs Algeria. Argentina win probability is 77%, Draw is 16%, Algeria win is 7%.

What are the odds for Argentina vs Algeria?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Argentina 77% | Draw 16% | Algeria 7%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Argentina

77% Win
Prob

16% Draw

Away Algeria

7% Win
Prob

the tournament

Argentina vs Algeria

◯09:00 SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Argentina Win77%

Draw16%

Algeria Win7%

Weighted consensus across 2 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	ARGENTIN	Draw	ALGERIA
Polymarket	78%	15%	7%
Kalshi	77%	16%	7%
Wtd. Average	78%	16%	7%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 2 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.