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Argentina
60%
Win
Prob
Prob
VS
24%
Draw
Away
Austria
16%
Win
Prob
Prob
the tournament
Argentina vs Austria
Market Consensus
Argentina Win60%
Draw24%
Austria Win16%
Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
| Source | ARGENTIN | Draw | AUSTRIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| DraftKings | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| FanDuel | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Wtd. Average | 59% | 25% | 16% |
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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