Who is the favourite in Argentina vs Cape Verde?

Betting exchange markets make Argentina the 83% favourite to win Argentina vs Cape Verde. Argentina win probability is 83%, Draw is 12%, Cape Verde win is 5%.

What are the odds for Argentina vs Cape Verde?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Argentina 83% | Draw 12% | Cape Verde 5%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Argentina

83% Win
Prob

12% Draw

Away Cape Verde

5% Win
Prob

Round of 32

Argentina vs Cape Verde

◯Fri 03 Jul 2026◯6:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

What does the crowd think?

Market Consensus

Argentina Win 83%

Draw 12%

Cape Verde Win 5%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	ARGENTIN	Draw	VERDE
Betfair Exchange sharp	84%	12%	4%
Smarkets sharp	84%	12%	5%
Matchbook sharp	84%	12%	4%
Pinnacle	83%	12%	5%
DraftKings	82%	13%	6%
FanDuel	83%	13%	5%
Wtd. Average	83%	12%	5%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

4–0

15%

3–0

14%

4–1

14%

5–0

13%

3–1

13%

5–1

12%

2–0

10%

6–0

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.