Home Argentina
71% Win
Prob
VS
20% Draw
Away Egypt
9% Win
Prob
Round of 16

Argentina vs Egypt

Tue 07 Jul 202612:00 AM SGT · KickoffMercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Market Consensus
Argentina Win 71%
Draw 20%
Egypt Win 9%
Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceARGENTINDrawEGYPT
Betfair Exchange sharp72%19%9%
Smarkets sharp71%19%9%
Matchbook sharp72%19%9%
Pinnacle70%20%10%
DraftKings70%20%10%
FanDuel70%20%9%
Wtd. Average71%19%9%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live
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Correct Score
3–0
16%
2–0
15%
3–1
14%
2–1
13%
4–0
12%
4–1
11%
1–1
10%
1–0
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
What does the crowd think?
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