Home Argentina
57% Win
Prob
VS
27% Draw
Away Switzerland
16% Win
Prob
Quarterfinal

Argentina vs Switzerland

Sun 12 Jul 20269:00 AM SGT · KickoffGEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Market Consensus
Argentina Win 57%
Draw 27%
Switzerland Win 16%
Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceARGENTINDrawSWITZERL
Betfair Exchange sharp57%27%16%
Smarkets sharp57%27%16%
Matchbook sharp57%27%16%
Pinnacle57%27%16%
DraftKings56%27%17%
FanDuel57%27%16%
Wtd. Average57%27%16%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live
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Correct Score
2–0
16%
1–1
16%
2–1
16%
3–0
12%
3–1
12%
1–0
11%
0–0
8%
2–2
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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