◯Sun 12 Jul 2026◯9:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Market Consensus
Argentina Win57%
Draw27%
Switzerland Win16%
Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
Source
ARGENTIN
Draw
SWITZERL
Betfair Exchange sharp
57%
27%
16%
Smarkets sharp
57%
27%
16%
Matchbook sharp
57%
27%
16%
Pinnacle
57%
27%
16%
DraftKings
56%
27%
17%
FanDuel
57%
27%
16%
Wtd. Average
57%
27%
16%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live
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Correct Score
2–0
16%
1–1
16%
2–1
16%
3–0
12%
3–1
12%
1–0
11%
0–0
8%
2–2
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.