Who is the favourite in Atlético Madrid vs Málaga?

Betting exchange markets make Atlético Madrid the 72% favourite to win Atlético Madrid vs Málaga. Atlético Madrid win probability is 72%, Draw is 18%, Málaga win is 10%.

What are the odds for Atlético Madrid vs Málaga?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Atlético Madrid 72% | Draw 18% | Málaga 10%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Atlético Madrid

72% Win
Prob

18% Draw

Away Málaga

10% Win
Prob

La Liga

Atlético Madrid vs Málaga

◯Sun 16 Aug 2026◯3:00 AM SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Atlético Madrid Win 72%

Draw 18%

Málaga Win 10%

Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	MADRID	Draw	MÁLAGA
Pinnacle	72%	18%	11%
DraftKings	72%	18%	10%
Wtd. Average	72%	18%	10%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books · live

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Correct Score

3–0

15%

3–1

15%

2–0

13%

2–1

13%

4–0

13%

4–1

13%

1–1

5–0

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?