Home Australia
28% Win
Prob
VS
33% Draw
Away Egypt
38% Win
Prob
Round of 32

Australia vs Egypt

Fri 03 Jul 20262:00 AM SGT · KickoffAT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
What does the crowd think?
Market Consensus
Australia Win 28%
Draw 33%
Egypt Win 38%
Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceAUSTRALIDrawEGYPT
Betfair Exchange sharp28%33%38%
Smarkets sharp28%33%38%
Matchbook sharp28%33%38%
Pinnacle28%33%39%
DraftKings29%33%38%
FanDuel29%33%38%
Wtd. Average28%33%38%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
22%
0–0
14%
1–2
12%
2–1
12%
0–1
11%
1–0
11%
0–2
9%
2–0
9%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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