Home Bayern Munich
73% Win
Prob
VS
15% Draw
Away VfB Stuttgart
12% Win
Prob
Bundesliga

Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart

Fri 28 Aug 20262:30 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Bayern Munich Win 73%
Draw 15%
VfB Stuttgart Win 12%
Weighted consensus across 6 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceMUNICHDrawSTUTTGAR
Smarkets sharp72%16%13%
Pinnacle73%14%12%
DraftKings72%15%13%
FanDuel73%15%11%
BetMGM72%15%13%
Wtd. Average73%15%12%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 6 books · live
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Correct Score
4–1
16%
3–1
15%
5–1
14%
4–2
12%
3–2
12%
5–2
11%
2–1
10%
4–0
10%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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