Home Belgium
62% Win
Prob
VS
24% Draw
Away Egypt
14% Win
Prob
the tournament

Belgium vs Egypt

06:00 SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Belgium Win62%
Draw24%
Egypt Win14%
Weighted consensus across 2 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceBELGIUMDrawEGYPT
Polymarket63%23%14%
Kalshi62%24%14%
Wtd. Average62%24%14%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 2 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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