Who is the favourite in Belgium vs Iran?

Betting exchange markets make Belgium the 67% favourite to win Belgium vs Iran. Belgium win probability is 67%, Draw is 21%, Iran win is 12%.

What are the odds for Belgium vs Iran?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Belgium 67% | Draw 21% | Iran 12%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Belgium

67% Win
Prob

21% Draw

Away Iran

12% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Belgium vs Iran

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Belgium Win67%

Draw21%

Iran Win12%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	BELGIUM	Draw	IRAN
Betfair Exchange sharp	67%	21%	12%
Smarkets sharp	67%	21%	12%
Matchbook sharp	67%	21%	12%
Pinnacle	67%	21%	13%
DraftKings	66%	21%	13%
FanDuel	67%	21%	13%
Wtd. Average	67%	21%	12%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.