Who is the favourite in Belgium vs Senegal?

Betting exchange markets make Belgium the 43% favourite to win Belgium vs Senegal. Belgium win probability is 43%, Draw is 30%, Senegal win is 27%.

What are the odds for Belgium vs Senegal?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Belgium 43% | Draw 30% | Senegal 27%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Belgium

43% Win
Prob

30% Draw

Away Senegal

27% Win
Prob

Round of 32

Belgium vs Senegal

◯Wed 01 Jul 2026◯4:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

What does the crowd think?

Market Consensus

Belgium Win 43%

Draw 30%

Senegal Win 27%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	BELGIUM	Draw	SENEGAL
Betfair Exchange sharp	43%	30%	27%
Smarkets sharp	43%	30%	27%
Matchbook sharp	43%	30%	27%
Pinnacle	43%	30%	27%
DraftKings	44%	29%	27%
FanDuel	43%	30%	27%
Wtd. Average	43%	30%	27%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

1–1

20%

2–1

16%

2–0

12%

1–2

11%

2–2

11%

3–1

11%

1–0

10%

0–0

10%

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.