Home Borussia Dortmund
71% Win
Prob
VS
18% Draw
Away Hamburger SV
11% Win
Prob
Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

Sat 29 Aug 20269:30 PM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Borussia Dortmund Win 71%
Draw 18%
Hamburger SV Win 11%
Weighted consensus across 7 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceDORTMUNDDrawSV
Betfair Exchange sharp72%17%10%
Smarkets sharp68%19%13%
Pinnacle71%17%12%
DraftKings70%18%12%
FanDuel72%17%11%
BetMGM71%17%12%
Wtd. Average71%17%11%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 7 books · live
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Correct Score
3–1
16%
4–1
15%
3–0
13%
2–1
13%
4–0
12%
2–0
11%
5–1
11%
3–2
10%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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