Home Brazil
87% Win
Prob
VS
9% Draw
Away Haiti
4% Win
Prob
What The Market Says

Brazil vs Haiti

SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Brazil Win87%
Draw9%
Haiti Win4%
Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceBRAZILDrawHAITI
Betfair Exchange sharp88%8%4%
Smarkets sharp88%8%4%
Matchbook sharp88%8%4%
Pinnacle87%9%4%
DraftKings87%9%4%
FanDuel87%9%5%
Wtd. Average88%8%4%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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