Who is the favourite in Brazil vs Norway?

Betting exchange markets make Brazil the 53% favourite to win Brazil vs Norway. Brazil win probability is 53%, Draw is 26%, Norway win is 21%.

What are the odds for Brazil vs Norway?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Brazil 53% | Draw 26% | Norway 21%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Brazil

53% Win
Prob

26% Draw

Away Norway

21% Win
Prob

Round of 16

Brazil vs Norway

◯Sun 05 Jul 2026◯4:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

Market Consensus

Brazil Win 53%

Draw 26%

Norway Win 21%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	BRAZIL	Draw	NORWAY
Betfair Exchange sharp	54%	26%	20%
Smarkets sharp	54%	26%	20%
Matchbook sharp	54%	26%	20%
Pinnacle	53%	26%	22%
DraftKings	53%	25%	23%
FanDuel	54%	26%	21%
Wtd. Average	53%	26%	21%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

Loading form…

Correct Score

2–1

17%

1–1

15%

3–1

14%

2–0

13%

2–2

11%

3–0

11%

3–2

10%

4–1

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?