Home Brighton and Hove Albion
42% Win
Prob
VS
26% Draw
Away Aston Villa
33% Win
Prob
EPL

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Aston Villa

Sun 23 Aug 20269:00 PM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Brighton and Hove Albion Win 42%
Draw 26%
Aston Villa Win 33%
Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceALBIONDrawVILLA
Betfair Exchange sharp42%26%33%
Smarkets sharp42%25%34%
Pinnacle42%26%32%
DraftKings41%26%32%
FanDuel42%25%32%
BetMGM41%26%33%
Wtd. Average42%26%33%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
16%
2–1
16%
2–2
14%
3–1
13%
1–2
12%
3–2
11%
2–0
9%
2–3
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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