Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
Source
1995
Draw
SEOUL
Betfair Exchange sharp
20%
27%
53%
Smarkets sharp
27%
27%
46%
Pinnacle
19%
26%
54%
DraftKings
20%
26%
54%
BetMGM
20%
26%
54%
William Hill
20%
28%
52%
Wtd. Average
21%
27%
52%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
20%
1–2
17%
2–1
12%
2–2
12%
0–2
12%
1–3
11%
0–0
9%
0–1
9%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.