Who is the favourite in Canada vs Morocco?

Betting exchange markets make Morocco the 54% favourite to win Canada vs Morocco. Canada win probability is 18%, Draw is 28%, Morocco win is 54%.

What are the odds for Canada vs Morocco?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Canada 18% | Draw 28% | Morocco 54%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Canada

18% Win
Prob

28% Draw

Away Morocco

54% Win
Prob

Round of 16

Canada vs Morocco

◯Sat 04 Jul 2026◯1:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

Market Consensus

Canada Win 18%

Draw 28%

Morocco Win 54%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	CANADA	Draw	MOROCCO
Betfair Exchange sharp	17%	28%	55%
Smarkets sharp	17%	28%	55%
Matchbook sharp	17%	28%	54%
Pinnacle	18%	28%	54%
DraftKings	19%	27%	54%
FanDuel	18%	28%	54%
Wtd. Average	18%	28%	54%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

1–1

20%

1–2

16%

0–2

13%

0–1

11%

0–0

11%

2–1

10%

1–3

10%

2–2

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?