Home Canada
74% Win
Prob
VS
17% Draw
Away Qatar
9% Win
Prob
What The Market Says

Canada vs Qatar

SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Canada Win74%
Draw17%
Qatar Win9%
Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceCANADADrawQATAR
Betfair Exchange sharp75%17%8%
Smarkets sharp75%17%8%
Matchbook sharp74%17%9%
Pinnacle74%17%9%
DraftKings74%17%9%
FanDuel75%17%9%
Wtd. Average74%17%9%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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