Who is the favourite in CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?

Betting exchange markets make CF Montreal the 48% favourite to win CF Montreal vs Toronto FC. CF Montreal win probability is 48%, Draw is 25%, Toronto FC win is 27%.

What are the odds for CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: CF Montreal 48% | Draw 25% | Toronto FC 27%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home CF Montreal

48% Win
Prob

25% Draw

Away Toronto FC

27% Win
Prob

MLS

CF Montreal vs Toronto FC

◯Thu 16 Jul 2026◯7:30 AM SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

CF Montreal Win 48%

Draw 25%

Toronto FC Win 27%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	MONTREAL	Draw	FC
Betfair Exchange sharp	48%	25%	27%
Smarkets sharp	48%	25%	27%
Matchbook sharp	48%	25%	27%
Pinnacle	48%	25%	27%
DraftKings	47%	25%	28%
FanDuel	47%	25%	28%
Wtd. Average	48%	25%	27%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

2–1

16%

1–1

15%

3–1

14%

2–2

13%

3–2

12%

1–2

10%

2–0

10%

4–1

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?