Weighted consensus across 7 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
Source
FC
Draw
ZHEJIANG
Betfair Exchange sharp
34%
26%
39%
Pinnacle
33%
27%
40%
DraftKings
34%
27%
40%
FanDuel
35%
24%
40%
William Hill
33%
28%
39%
Wtd. Average
34%
26%
39%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 7 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
18%
2–1
15%
2–2
14%
1–2
14%
3–1
11%
3–2
10%
2–3
9%
1–3
9%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.