Home Colombia
23% Win
Prob
VS
26% Draw
Away Portugal
51% Win
Prob
the tournament

Colombia vs Portugal

Sat 27 Jun 20267:30 AM SGT · KickoffHard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Market Consensus
Colombia Win 23%
Draw 26%
Portugal Win 51%
Weighted consensus across 9 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceCOLOMBIADrawPORTUGAL
Betfair Exchange sharp24%25%51%
Smarkets sharp23%26%51%
Matchbook sharp23%26%51%
Pinnacle24%25%51%
DraftKings23%26%51%
FanDuel23%26%51%
Wtd. Average24%26%51%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 9 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
18%
1–2
16%
2–2
14%
2–1
13%
1–3
12%
2–3
10%
0–2
10%
3–2
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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