Who is the favourite in Croatia vs Ghana?

Betting exchange markets make Croatia the 54% favourite to win Croatia vs Ghana. Croatia win probability is 54%, Draw is 29%, Ghana win is 16%.

What are the odds for Croatia vs Ghana?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Croatia 54% | Draw 29% | Ghana 16%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Croatia

54% Win
Prob

29% Draw

Away Ghana

16% Win
Prob

the tournament

Croatia vs Ghana

◯Sat 27 Jun 2026◯5:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Market Consensus

Croatia Win 54%

Draw 29%

Ghana Win 16%

Weighted consensus across 9 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	CROATIA	Draw	GHANA
Betfair Exchange sharp	55%	29%	16%
Smarkets sharp	55%	29%	16%
Matchbook sharp	54%	30%	16%
Pinnacle	54%	30%	16%
DraftKings	54%	28%	17%
FanDuel	54%	30%	16%
Wtd. Average	54%	29%	16%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 9 books · live

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Correct Score

2–0

17%

1–1

17%

2–1

15%

1–0

14%

3–0

12%

0–0

10%

3–1

10%

2–2

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.