Who is the favourite in Czechia vs Mexico?

Betting exchange markets make Mexico the 45% favourite to win Czechia vs Mexico. Czechia win probability is 28%, Draw is 27%, Mexico win is 45%.

What are the odds for Czechia vs Mexico?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Czechia 28% | Draw 27% | Mexico 45%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Czechia

28% Win
Prob

27% Draw

Away Mexico

45% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Czechia vs Mexico

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Czechia Win28%

Draw27%

Mexico Win45%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	CZECHIA	Draw	MEXICO
Betfair Exchange sharp	28%	26%	46%
Smarkets sharp	28%	26%	46%
Matchbook sharp	28%	26%	46%
Pinnacle	28%	26%	46%
DraftKings	28%	27%	45%
FanDuel	29%	26%	45%
Wtd. Average	28%	26%	46%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.