Weighted consensus across 7 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
Source
CORUÑA
Draw
CF
Betfair Exchange sharp
41%
31%
28%
Smarkets sharp
41%
31%
28%
Pinnacle
42%
30%
28%
DraftKings
41%
30%
29%
FanDuel
42%
29%
29%
BetMGM
41%
30%
29%
Wtd. Average
41%
31%
28%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 7 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
20%
2–1
16%
2–0
13%
1–0
11%
0–0
11%
1–2
10%
3–1
9%
2–2
9%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.