Who is the favourite in Ecuador vs Curaçao?

Betting exchange markets make Ecuador the 87% favourite to win Ecuador vs Curaçao. Ecuador win probability is 87%, Draw is 9%, Curaçao win is 4%.

What are the odds for Ecuador vs Curaçao?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Ecuador 87% | Draw 9% | Curaçao 4%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Ecuador

87% Win
Prob

9% Draw

Away Curaçao

4% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Ecuador vs Curaçao

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Ecuador Win87%

Draw9%

Curaçao Win4%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	ECUADOR	Draw	CURAÇAO
Betfair Exchange sharp	87%	9%	4%
Smarkets sharp	87%	9%	4%
Matchbook sharp	87%	9%	4%
Pinnacle	86%	10%	4%
DraftKings	87%	9%	4%
FanDuel	86%	10%	5%
Wtd. Average	87%	9%	4%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.