Who is the favourite in Ecuador vs Germany?

Betting exchange markets make Germany the 63% favourite to win Ecuador vs Germany. Ecuador win probability is 18%, Draw is 19%, Germany win is 63%.

What are the odds for Ecuador vs Germany?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Ecuador 18% | Draw 19% | Germany 63%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Ecuador

18% Win
Prob

19% Draw

Away Germany

63% Win
Prob

the tournament

Ecuador vs Germany

◯4:00 AM SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Ecuador Win18%

Draw19%

Germany Win63%

Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	ECUADOR	Draw	GERMANY
Pinnacle	18%	19%	64%
DraftKings	18%	20%	62%
FanDuel	18%	19%	63%
Wtd. Average	18%	19%	63%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.