Who is the favourite in England vs Croatia?

Betting exchange markets make England the 55% favourite to win England vs Croatia. England win probability is 55%, Draw is 27%, Croatia win is 18%.

What are the odds for England vs Croatia?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: England 55% | Draw 27% | Croatia 18%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home England

55% Win
Prob

27% Draw

Away Croatia

18% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

England vs Croatia

◯04:00 SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

England Win55%

Draw27%

Croatia Win18%

Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	ENGLAND	Draw	CROATIA
Betfair Exchange sharp	54%	28%	18%
Polymarket	56%	26%	18%
Kalshi	55%	27%	18%
Wtd. Average	54%	28%	18%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.