Home England
76% Win
Prob
VS
17% Draw
Away DR Congo
7% Win
Prob
the tournament

England vs DR Congo

What does the crowd think?
Market Consensus
England Win 76%
Draw 17%
DR Congo Win 7%
Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceENGLANDDrawCONGO
Betfair Exchange sharp77%17%6%
Smarkets sharp77%17%6%
Matchbook sharp77%17%6%
Pinnacle75%17%8%
DraftKings75%17%8%
FanDuel76%17%6%
Wtd. Average76%17%7%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live
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Correct Score
3–0
17%
2–0
15%
4–0
14%
3–1
13%
2–1
12%
4–1
11%
5–0
10%
1–1
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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