Who is the favourite in England vs Ghana?

Betting exchange markets make England the 78% favourite to win England vs Ghana. England win probability is 78%, Draw is 15%, Ghana win is 7%.

What are the odds for England vs Ghana?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: England 78% | Draw 15% | Ghana 7%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home England

78% Win
Prob

15% Draw

Away Ghana

7% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

England vs Ghana

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

England Win78%

Draw15%

Ghana Win7%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	ENGLAND	Draw	GHANA
Betfair Exchange sharp	80%	14%	6%
Smarkets sharp	79%	14%	6%
Matchbook sharp	80%	14%	6%
Pinnacle	78%	15%	7%
DraftKings	78%	15%	7%
FanDuel	79%	15%	6%
Wtd. Average	79%	14%	6%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.