Who is the favourite in France vs England?

Betting exchange markets make France the 48% favourite to win France vs England. France win probability is 48%, Draw is 26%, England win is 26%.

What are the odds for France vs England?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: France 48% | Draw 26% | England 26%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home France

48% Win
Prob

26% Draw

Away England

26% Win
Prob

Third Place

France vs England

◯Sat 18 Jul 2026◯5:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

Market Consensus

France Win 48%

Draw 26%

England Win 26%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	FRANCE	Draw	ENGLAND
Betfair Exchange sharp	49%	26%	25%
Smarkets sharp	49%	26%	25%
Matchbook sharp	48%	26%	26%
Pinnacle	48%	26%	26%
DraftKings	48%	26%	27%
FanDuel	49%	26%	26%
Wtd. Average	49%	26%	26%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

2–1

17%

1–1

16%

3–1

14%

2–2

13%

2–0

11%

3–2

11%

1–2

10%

3–0

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?