Who is the favourite in France vs Iraq?

Betting exchange markets make France the 88% favourite to win France vs Iraq. France win probability is 88%, Draw is 9%, Iraq win is 3%.

What are the odds for France vs Iraq?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: France 88% | Draw 9% | Iraq 3%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home France

88% Win
Prob

9% Draw

Away Iraq

3% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

France vs Iraq

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

France Win88%

Draw9%

Iraq Win3%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	FRANCE	Draw	IRAQ
Betfair Exchange sharp	89%	8%	3%
Smarkets sharp	89%	8%	3%
Matchbook sharp	89%	8%	3%
Pinnacle	88%	8%	3%
DraftKings	89%	8%	3%
FanDuel	88%	9%	3%
Wtd. Average	89%	8%	3%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.