Who is the favourite in France vs Morocco?

Betting exchange markets make France the 61% favourite to win France vs Morocco. France win probability is 61%, Draw is 25%, Morocco win is 14%.

What are the odds for France vs Morocco?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: France 61% | Draw 25% | Morocco 14%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home France

61% Win
Prob

25% Draw

Away Morocco

14% Win
Prob

Quarterfinal

France vs Morocco

◯Thu 09 Jul 2026◯4:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Market Consensus

France Win 61%

Draw 25%

Morocco Win 14%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	FRANCE	Draw	MOROCCO
Betfair Exchange sharp	61%	25%	14%
Smarkets sharp	62%	24%	14%
Matchbook sharp	61%	25%	14%
Pinnacle	61%	25%	14%
DraftKings	61%	24%	15%
FanDuel	60%	25%	15%
Wtd. Average	61%	25%	14%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

2–0

16%

2–1

16%

1–1

14%

3–0

14%

3–1

13%

1–0

10%

4–0

4–1

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?