Who is the favourite in France vs Senegal?

Betting exchange markets make France the 64% favourite to win France vs Senegal. France win probability is 64%, Draw is 22%, Senegal win is 14%.

What are the odds for France vs Senegal?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: France 64% | Draw 22% | Senegal 14%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home France

64% Win
Prob

22% Draw

Away Senegal

14% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

France vs Senegal

◯03:00 SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

France Win64%

Draw22%

Senegal Win14%

Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	FRANCE	Draw	SENEGAL
Betfair Exchange sharp	63%	23%	14%
Polymarket	65%	21%	14%
Kalshi	64%	22%	14%
Wtd. Average	63%	23%	14%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.