Who is the favourite in France vs Sweden?

Betting exchange markets make France the 76% favourite to win France vs Sweden. France win probability is 76%, Draw is 16%, Sweden win is 8%.

What are the odds for France vs Sweden?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: France 76% | Draw 16% | Sweden 8%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home France

76% Win
Prob

16% Draw

Away Sweden

8% Win
Prob

Round of 32

France vs Sweden

◯Tue 30 Jun 2026◯5:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

What does the crowd think?

Market Consensus

France Win 76%

Draw 16%

Sweden Win 8%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	FRANCE	Draw	SWEDEN
Betfair Exchange sharp	77%	15%	8%
Smarkets sharp	77%	16%	8%
Matchbook sharp	77%	16%	8%
Pinnacle	76%	15%	9%
DraftKings	75%	16%	9%
FanDuel	76%	16%	9%
Wtd. Average	76%	15%	8%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

3–1

15%

4–1

15%

3–0

14%

4–0

13%

2–1

11%

5–1

11%

2–0

10%

5–0

10%

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.