Who is the favourite in FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn?

Betting exchange markets make FSV Mainz 05 the 56% favourite to win FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn. FSV Mainz 05 win probability is 56%, Draw is 24%, SC Paderborn win is 21%.

What are the odds for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: FSV Mainz 05 56% | Draw 24% | SC Paderborn 21%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home FSV Mainz 05

56% Win
Prob

24% Draw

Away SC Paderborn

21% Win
Prob

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn

◯Sat 29 Aug 2026◯9:30 PM SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

FSV Mainz 05 Win 56%

Draw 24%

SC Paderborn Win 21%

Weighted consensus across 7 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	05	Draw	PADERBOR
Betfair Exchange sharp	56%	24%	20%
Smarkets sharp	55%	24%	20%
Pinnacle	56%	24%	21%
DraftKings	55%	24%	21%
FanDuel	57%	22%	20%
BetMGM	55%	24%	21%
Wtd. Average	56%	24%	20%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 7 books · live

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Correct Score

2–1

16%

3–1

15%

1–1

13%

2–2

11%

2–0

11%

3–2

11%

4–1

11%

3–0

11%

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?