Home Genoa
21% Win
Prob
VS
29% Draw
Away Napoli
51% Win
Prob
Serie A

Genoa vs Napoli

Sat 22 Aug 20262:45 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Genoa Win 21%
Draw 29%
Napoli Win 51%
Weighted consensus across 7 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceGENOADrawNAPOLI
Betfair Exchange sharp21%29%50%
Smarkets sharp20%29%51%
Pinnacle20%30%50%
DraftKings20%30%50%
FanDuel21%28%51%
BetMGM21%28%51%
Wtd. Average21%29%50%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 7 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
20%
1–2
16%
0–2
12%
2–1
11%
2–2
10%
0–0
10%
0–1
10%
1–3
10%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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