Who is the favourite in Germany vs Paraguay?

Betting exchange markets make Germany the 71% favourite to win Germany vs Paraguay. Germany win probability is 71%, Draw is 19%, Paraguay win is 10%.

What are the odds for Germany vs Paraguay?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Germany 71% | Draw 19% | Paraguay 10%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Germany

71% Win
Prob

19% Draw

Away Paraguay

10% Win
Prob

Round of 32

Germany vs Paraguay

◯Mon 29 Jun 2026◯4:30 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

What does the crowd think?

Market Consensus

Germany Win 71%

Draw 19%

Paraguay Win 10%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	GERMANY	Draw	PARAGUAY
Betfair Exchange sharp	72%	19%	9%
Smarkets sharp	72%	19%	9%
Matchbook sharp	72%	19%	9%
Pinnacle	72%	19%	10%
DraftKings	71%	19%	10%
FanDuel	71%	19%	10%
Wtd. Average	71%	19%	10%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

3–0

15%

3–1

15%

2–0

14%

2–1

14%

4–0

12%

4–1

12%

1–1

10%

5–0

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.