Who is the favourite in Iran vs New Zealand?

Betting exchange markets make Iran the 41% favourite to win Iran vs New Zealand. Iran win probability is 41%, Draw is 31%, New Zealand win is 28%.

What are the odds for Iran vs New Zealand?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Iran 41% | Draw 31% | New Zealand 28%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Iran

41% Win
Prob

31% Draw

Away New Zealand

28% Win
Prob

the tournament

Iran vs New Zealand

◯12:00 SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Iran Win41%

Draw31%

New Zealand Win28%

Weighted consensus across 2 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	IRAN	Draw	ZEALAND
Polymarket	41%	31%	28%
Kalshi	40%	32%	28%
Wtd. Average	40%	32%	28%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 2 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.