Who is the favourite in Iraq vs Norway?

Betting exchange markets make Norway the 81% favourite to win Iraq vs Norway. Iraq win probability is 8%, Draw is 11%, Norway win is 81%.

What are the odds for Iraq vs Norway?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Iraq 8% | Draw 11% | Norway 81%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Iraq

8% Win
Prob

11% Draw

Away Norway

81% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Iraq vs Norway

◯06:00 SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Iraq Win8%

Draw11%

Norway Win81%

Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	IRAQ	Draw	NORWAY
Betfair Exchange sharp	9%	11%	80%
Polymarket	8%	10%	82%
Kalshi	8%	11%	81%
Wtd. Average	9%	11%	80%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.