Home Japan
50% Win
Prob
VS
28% Draw
Away Sweden
22% Win
Prob
the tournament

Japan vs Sweden

7:00 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Japan Win50%
Draw28%
Sweden Win22%
Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceJAPANDrawSWEDEN
Pinnacle50%28%22%
DraftKings51%28%22%
FanDuel51%28%22%
Wtd. Average51%28%22%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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