Home LA Galaxy
33% Win
Prob
VS
25% Draw
Away Los Angeles FC
42% Win
Prob
MLS

LA Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC

Sat 18 Jul 202610:25 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
LA Galaxy Win 33%
Draw 25%
Los Angeles FC Win 42%
Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceGALAXYDrawFC
Betfair Exchange sharp33%25%42%
Smarkets sharp33%25%42%
Matchbook sharp33%25%42%
Pinnacle32%25%42%
DraftKings32%26%42%
FanDuel34%25%42%
Wtd. Average33%25%42%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
15%
2–2
15%
2–1
14%
1–2
14%
3–2
11%
3–1
11%
2–3
10%
1–3
9%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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