Who is the favourite in Manchester City vs Bournemouth?

Betting exchange markets make Manchester City the 66% favourite to win Manchester City vs Bournemouth. Manchester City win probability is 66%, Draw is 19%, Bournemouth win is 15%.

What are the odds for Manchester City vs Bournemouth?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Manchester City 66% | Draw 19% | Bournemouth 15%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Manchester City

66% Win
Prob

19% Draw

Away Bournemouth

15% Win
Prob

EPL

Manchester City vs Bournemouth

◯Sun 23 Aug 2026◯9:00 PM SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Manchester City Win 66%

Draw 19%

Bournemouth Win 15%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	CITY	Draw	BOURNEMO
Betfair Exchange sharp	66%	19%	15%
Smarkets sharp	66%	19%	16%
Pinnacle	65%	19%	16%
DraftKings	65%	19%	16%
FanDuel	68%	18%	15%
BetMGM	64%	20%	16%
Wtd. Average	66%	19%	15%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books · live

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Correct Score

3–1

17%

4–1

15%

2–1

14%

3–2

12%

3–0

12%

4–2

10%

5–1

10%

4–0

10%

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?