Home Marseille
57% Win
Prob
VS
22% Draw
Away Strasbourg
21% Win
Prob
Ligue 1

Marseille vs Strasbourg

Fri 21 Aug 20262:45 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Marseille Win 57%
Draw 22%
Strasbourg Win 21%
Weighted consensus across 6 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceMARSEILLDrawSTRASBOU
Betfair Exchange sharp57%22%21%
Smarkets sharp56%24%20%
Pinnacle58%22%20%
FanDuel59%21%20%
BetMGM56%22%22%
Wtd. Average57%22%21%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 6 books · live
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Correct Score
2–1
16%
3–1
16%
1–1
12%
2–2
12%
3–2
12%
4–1
12%
2–0
10%
3–0
10%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
What does the crowd think?
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