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Netherlands
57%
Win
Prob
Prob
VS
26%
Draw
Away
Japan
0%
Win
Prob
Prob
the tournament
Netherlands vs Japan
Market Consensus
Netherlands Win57%
Draw26%
Japan Win0%
Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
| Source | NETHERLA | Draw | JAPAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wtd. Average | 57% | 26% | 0% |
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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