Who is the favourite in Netherlands vs Morocco?

Betting exchange markets make Netherlands the 42% favourite to win Netherlands vs Morocco. Netherlands win probability is 42%, Draw is 31%, Morocco win is 27%.

What are the odds for Netherlands vs Morocco?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Netherlands 42% | Draw 31% | Morocco 27%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Netherlands

42% Win
Prob

31% Draw

Away Morocco

27% Win
Prob

Round of 32

Netherlands vs Morocco

◯Tue 30 Jun 2026◯9:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe

What does the crowd think?

Market Consensus

Netherlands Win 42%

Draw 31%

Morocco Win 27%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	NETHERLA	Draw	MOROCCO
Betfair Exchange sharp	41%	31%	28%
Smarkets sharp	43%	32%	26%
Matchbook sharp	41%	31%	28%
Pinnacle	41%	31%	28%
DraftKings	42%	31%	27%
FanDuel	41%	31%	28%
Wtd. Average	41%	31%	28%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

1–1

20%

2–1

16%

2–0

13%

1–0

11%

0–0

11%

1–2

10%

3–1

2–2

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.