Who is the favourite in Netherlands vs Sweden?

Betting exchange markets make Netherlands the 55% favourite to win Netherlands vs Sweden. Netherlands win probability is 55%, Draw is 25%, Sweden win is 20%.

What are the odds for Netherlands vs Sweden?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Netherlands 55% | Draw 25% | Sweden 20%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Netherlands

55% Win
Prob

25% Draw

Away Sweden

20% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Netherlands vs Sweden

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Netherlands Win55%

Draw25%

Sweden Win20%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	NETHERLA	Draw	SWEDEN
Betfair Exchange sharp	55%	25%	20%
Smarkets sharp	55%	25%	20%
Matchbook sharp	55%	25%	20%
Pinnacle	55%	24%	21%
DraftKings	54%	25%	21%
FanDuel	54%	25%	21%
Wtd. Average	55%	25%	20%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

Loading form…

Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.