Who is the favourite in New Zealand vs Belgium?

Betting exchange markets make Belgium the 77% favourite to win New Zealand vs Belgium. New Zealand win probability is 8%, Draw is 15%, Belgium win is 77%.

What are the odds for New Zealand vs Belgium?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: New Zealand 8% | Draw 15% | Belgium 77%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home New Zealand

8% Win
Prob

15% Draw

Away Belgium

77% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

New Zealand vs Belgium

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

New Zealand Win8%

Draw15%

Belgium Win77%

Weighted consensus across 7 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	ZEALAND	Draw	BELGIUM
Betfair Exchange sharp	8%	16%	76%
Smarkets sharp	9%	16%	76%
Pinnacle	8%	15%	77%
DraftKings	7%	15%	78%
FanDuel	8%	15%	78%
BetMGM	9%	16%	75%
Wtd. Average	8%	16%	76%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 7 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.