Home New Zealand
16% Win
Prob
VS
24% Draw
Away Egypt
60% Win
Prob
What The Market Says

New Zealand vs Egypt

SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
New Zealand Win16%
Draw24%
Egypt Win60%
Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceZEALANDDrawEGYPT
Betfair Exchange sharp16%24%60%
Smarkets sharp16%24%60%
Matchbook sharp16%24%60%
Pinnacle18%23%60%
DraftKings17%23%60%
FanDuel16%24%60%
Wtd. Average16%24%60%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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