Who is the favourite in Newcastle United vs Liverpool?

Betting exchange markets make Liverpool the 43% favourite to win Newcastle United vs Liverpool. Newcastle United win probability is 33%, Draw is 25%, Liverpool win is 43%.

What are the odds for Newcastle United vs Liverpool?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Newcastle United 33% | Draw 25% | Liverpool 43%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Newcastle United

33% Win
Prob

25% Draw

Away Liverpool

43% Win
Prob

EPL

Newcastle United vs Liverpool

◯Sun 23 Aug 2026◯11:30 PM SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Newcastle United Win 33%

Draw 25%

Liverpool Win 43%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	UNITED	Draw	LIVERPOO
Betfair Exchange sharp	32%	25%	44%
Smarkets sharp	35%	24%	41%
Pinnacle	32%	25%	43%
DraftKings	32%	25%	42%
FanDuel	34%	24%	42%
BetMGM	33%	25%	42%
Wtd. Average	33%	25%	43%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books · live

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Correct Score

2–2

15%

1–1

15%

2–1

14%

1–2

14%

3–2

11%

2–3

11%

3–1

10%

1–3

10%

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?