Home New England Revolution
53% Win
Prob
VS
25% Draw
Away Toronto FC
21% Win
Prob
MLS

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC

Wed 22 Jul 20267:30 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
New England Revolution Win 53%
Draw 25%
Toronto FC Win 21%
Weighted consensus across 6 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceREVOLUTIDrawFC
Smarkets sharp53%26%21%
FanDuel55%24%21%
BetMGM54%25%21%
William Hill52%26%22%
Wtd. Average53%25%21%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 6 books · live
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Correct Score
2–1
17%
1–1
15%
3–1
14%
2–0
13%
2–2
11%
3–0
11%
3–2
10%
4–1
9%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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